Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics: Journal of the Korean Econometric Society
Home About    Aims and Scope    Editorial Board Submit Archive Search
Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
JETEM/계량경제학보/計量經濟學報/JKES
Journal of the Korean Econometric Society

Detecting Price Manipulation in the Korean Stock Market: Application to Recent Suspected Cases

Vol.37, No.1, March , 75–98



  •   (University of Seoul)

  •   (Hankuk University of Foreign Studies)

PDF
Abstract  

We propose three criteria, including the permanent return ratio, change in permanent price ratio, and floating share ratio, to detect potential stock price manipulation. The permanent return and price ratios capture persistent price movements driven not by firms’ fundamental values but primarily by non-fundamental, including manipulative, sources. Manipulators’ preferences for information asymmetry favorable to generate manipulative price impacts are captured by the floating share ratio. We apply these criteria to the recent price manipulation-suspected cases in Korea, and find that the criteria can effectively detect the suspected stocks by sorting them into highly manipulation-susceptible groups. The results of the confusion matrix analysis confirm that our suggested criteria perform well in detecting potential price manipulation.


Keywords
   Stock price manipulation, permanent price ratio, floating share ratio.

JEL classification codes
   G12, G14.
Links

KCI
KES
SCOPUS
MathJax