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Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
Journal of the Korean Econometric Society
Detecting Price Manipulation in the Korean Stock Market: Application to Recent Suspected Cases
Vol.37, No.1, March 2026, 75–98
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Jinyong Kim
(University of Seoul)
Yongsik Kim
(Hankuk University of Foreign Studies)
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Abstract
We propose three criteria, including the permanent return ratio, change in permanent price ratio, and floating share ratio, to detect potential stock price manipulation. The permanent return and price ratios capture persistent price movements driven not by firms’ fundamental values but primarily by non-fundamental, including manipulative, sources. Manipulators’ preferences for information asymmetry favorable to generate manipulative price impacts are captured by the floating share ratio. We apply these criteria to the recent price manipulation-suspected cases in Korea, and find that the criteria can effectively detect the suspected stocks by sorting them into highly manipulation-susceptible groups. The results of the confusion matrix analysis confirm that our suggested criteria perform well in detecting potential price manipulation.
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Keywords
Stock price manipulation, permanent price ratio, floating share ratio. |
JEL classification codes
G12, G14. |
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